SC
SemiLEDs Corp (LEDS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2024 revenue was $1.324M, essentially flat QoQ vs $1.323M in Q3 but above the company’s Q3 guidance of ~$1.0M ±10% (range $0.9–$1.1M); however, GAAP gross margin deteriorated sharply to 12% (from 41% in Q3) and operating margin fell to -62% (from -36% in Q3) .
- GAAP net loss widened to $(0.08) per diluted share (vs $(0.06) per diluted share in Q3) as profitability pressure offset the revenue outperformance vs guidance .
- Cash and cash equivalents ended the quarter at $1.671M, essentially unchanged QoQ (Q3: $1.676M) but down YoY (FY2023 year-end: $2.572M), with total debt of ~$3.724M as of Aug 31, 2024 (current installments $2.854M + LT debt $0.870M) .
- No new forward guidance was issued for the next quarter; nonetheless, the quarter’s key stock-reaction catalyst is the revenue beat vs prior guidance contrasted with a significant sequential margin reset, which likely tempers positive read-through from the top line .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue exceeded the company’s prior Q4 outlook of ~$1.0M ±10% (range $0.9–$1.1M), delivering $1.324M in Q4 FY2024 .
- FY2024 GAAP gross margin improved to 20% vs 17% in FY2023, indicating some full-year mix/efficiency improvement despite quarterly volatility .
- Inventories declined sequentially to $3.574M in Q4 from $3.673M in Q3, suggesting some working capital progress alongside stable cash QoQ ($1.671M vs $1.676M) .
- Quote (forward-looking context): “We expect revenue for the fourth quarter ending August 31, 2024 to be approximately $1.0 million +/- 10%.” (Q3 release; actual Q4 revenue beat this guidance) .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compressed to 12% from 41% QoQ; operating margin fell to -62% from -36% QoQ, driving a wider net loss of $(0.08) per share vs $(0.06) in Q3 .
- FY2024 revenue declined to $5.183M from $5.979M in FY2023, reflecting a tougher demand backdrop for the year despite Q3–Q4 stabilization .
- Leverage remains a constraint: total debt ~$3.724M vs cash of $1.671M at FY2024 year-end; equity rose YoY ($2.201M vs $1.151M) but liquidity remains tight for sustained investment or volatility absorption .
- Context from Q2: “We shut down our manufacturing production from February 3 to February 18 due to the Chinese New Year holiday,” highlighting operational sensitivity to downtime earlier in the year .
Financial Results
- Quarterly performance vs prior periods
- Balance sheet and KPIs
- Full-year snapshot
- Estimates vs actuals
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 FY2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our feed at this time; we attempted to retrieve S&P Global estimates but encountered a rate limit error. As a result, comparisons to consensus are not shown.
Guidance Changes
- No new forward-looking guidance (e.g., revenue, margins, opex, tax rate) was provided in the Q4 FY2024 materials reviewed .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; we infer themes from press releases.
Management Commentary
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Strategic/operational context:
- The company engaged Roth Capital Partners as financial advisor to explore potential strategic alternatives (disclosed in Q3) .
- Forward-looking statements in Q4 reiterate the “consideration of potential strategic alternatives” and reference the broader LED industry recovery and market opportunities as uncertainties .
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Important quotes:
- “We expect revenue for the fourth quarter ending August 31, 2024 to be approximately $1.0 million +/- 10%.” (Q3 outlook; Q4 actual beat) .
- “We shut down our manufacturing production from February 3 to February 18 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.” (Q2 operational disclosure) .
Note: The Q4 press release and 8-K did not include management-prepared remarks or a call transcript with additional qualitative color beyond the financial tables and forward-looking statement disclosures .
Q&A Highlights
No Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript was available; thus, there were no analyst Q&A themes or clarifications to report from this period .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus for Q4 FY2024 revenue and EPS; however, data retrieval failed due to a rate limit, and we do not show consensus comparisons. As such, any estimate-related adjustments are not assessed in this report at this time.
- Given the revenue outcome vs the company’s prior guidance, sell-side estimates (where they exist) may need to reassess revenue resilience but also factor in the steeper-than-expected gross margin compression in Q4 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue resilience: Q4 revenue of $1.324M exceeded prior guidance, suggesting some stabilization of demand/mix near ~$1.3M run-rate despite a soft FY2024 overall .
- Margin volatility is the focus: GM fell to 12% from 41% QoQ and operating margin to -62% from -36%, overshadowing the top-line beat and widening losses per share .
- Liquidity/leverage watch: Cash held roughly flat QoQ at ~$1.67M but sits against ~$3.72M of total debt at FY2024 year-end; investors should monitor working capital and refinancing/repayment visibility .
- Strategic alternatives remain a potential medium-term catalyst; the Q4 forward-looking text references ongoing consideration, following the Q3 announcement of an advisor engagement .
- Year-over-year picture: FY2024 revenue declined to $5.183M vs $5.979M, though FY gross margin improved to 20% from 17%; sustained improvement will require stabilizing quarterly margins .
- Near-term setup: With no new forward guidance, the narrative likely hinges on whether Q4’s margin compression proves transient vs structural; absent new disclosures, traders may focus on subsequent updates or strategic review developments .
Appendix: Source Documents Reviewed
- Q4 FY2024 press release and 8-K (including financial statements) .
- Q3 FY2024 press release (including Q4 revenue guidance) .
- Q2 FY2024 8-K press release (including CNY shutdown and financials) .
Estimates disclaimer: We attempted to retrieve consensus from S&P Global for Q4 FY2024 but were unable to due to a temporary rate limit.